Economic Watch: Global Growth Expected to Hit 3% in 2018
Global outlook for gross domestic product growth rates, 2017-2027. Graphic: The Conference Board
">Global outlook for gross domestic product growth rates, 2017-2027. Graphic: The Conference Board
">After exceeding expectations in 2017, the global economy is projected to continue its current momentum to generate a 3% growth rate through 2018, according to The Conference Board's latest Global Economic Outlook.
The non-profit, private research group's analysis provides projections for the output growth of the world economy, including 11 major regions and individual estimates for 33 mature and 36 emerging market economies for 2018–2022 and 2023–27.
“Global growth has finally left the starting gate since the global economic and financial crisis."
“Global growth has finally left the starting gate since the global economic and financial crisis,” said Bart van Ark, chief economist of The Conference Board. “GDP (gross domestic product) growth, which we predicted to grow at 2.8% [annually] a year ago, is likely to end at about 3% for 2017, and through 2018.”
While the growth path of mature markets will remain solid in the short term, potential for much faster growth is limited, and a growth slowdown is likely to set in later in the decade, according to the report.
“As some major emerging markets are maturing themselves, especially China, they are unlikely to return to growth trends of the past,” said van Ark. “The good news is that a larger role for qualitative growth factors; an improvement in labor force skills, digitization, and especially stronger productivity growth; may help sustain growth and provide better conditions for businesses to thrive over the next decade.”
Mature Economies and Emerging MarketsMomentum in mature economies increased during 2017, which sets them up to continue growing at a decent pace in 2018 compared to the previous five-year average of 1.8% (2012–2017).
Mature economies are projected to grow by 2.1% in 2018 compared to 2.2% in 2017. The U.S. economy will especially benefit from carrying stronger investment ...Read the rest of this story


