Gold Heads for Weekly Climb as RBC Warns ‘Real Test’ Awaits

Gold Heads for Weekly Climb as RBC Warns ‘Real Test’ Awaits

(Bloomberg) -- Gold headed for a weekly advance on expectations there’ll be more stimulus measures to boost coronavirus-hit economies, with RBC Capital Markets predicting allocations to bullion will increase, at least for now.“The combination of low rates, massive stimulus, and high uncertainty point toward gold allocations rising regardless of whether equity markets improve materially,” though that may not coincide with higher prices, analysts led by Helima Croft said in a note.Bullion is trading near the highest in more than seven years as the pandemic triggered an unprecedented wave of stimulus from governments and central banks, and investors seeking a haven from market turmoil pour into exchange-traded funds backed by the metal. There’s the possibility of more measures as the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan have policy meetings next week. In the U.S., the House passed and sent to President Donald Trump a $484 billion virus aid package.RBC...

U.S. Natural Gas to Be World’s Priciest Amid Virus Upheaval

(Bloomberg) -- For the first time in more than a decade, U.S. natural gas is set to be the world’s most expensive as Covid-19 lockdowns wallop demand in other regions.Gas futures in the U.S. have rallied about 10% this month as traders bet that a historic crash in oil prices will drive American shale companies to halt more drilling and curb output of gas, which is extracted as a byproduct. In Europe and Asia, meanwhile, prices are sliding to fresh lows due to a supply glut and languishing consumption amid the pandemic.U.S. gas had consistently been the cheapest since the shale revolution, which flooded the country with fuel and turned it into the world’s biggest producer. Giant export terminals were financed and built by attracting customers through contracts linked to cheap American gas prices.That edge is eroding as prices in Asia and Europe confront the twin forces of rising supply and...

Top JPMorgan Fund Touts Big Windfall in Emerging-Market Stocks

(Bloomberg) -- An investor who’s consistently topped peers betting on stocks in the developing world says the asset class has never looked so promising.Leon Eidelman, whose $7.4 billion JPMorgan Emerging Markets Equity Fund has trounced 96% of peers through five years, said the firm forecasts 18% annualized returns for a basket of some 1,200 developing-nation stocks over the next half decade. The JPMorgan model jumped to an all-time high last month. He says his fund, which has about half its money in China and India, will do even better.About 19% of Eidelman’s portfolio is invested in four Asian technology firms: Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., Tencent Holdings Ltd., Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. and Samsung Electronics Co., according to the latest filings compiled by Bloomberg. That’s still slightly less than their weighting on the benchmark MSCI EM Index.“Our view is that over the next five years these businesses will emerge even bigger,” New...

Mnuchin Weighs Lending Program for Struggling Oil Companies

(Bloomberg) -- Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said he’s considering the creation of a government lending program for U.S. oil companies, which are looking for federal aid as they cope with a devastating plunge in prices.“One of the components we’re looking at is providing a lending facility for the industry,” Mnuchin said in a Bloomberg News interview on Thursday. “We’re looking at a lot of different options, and we have not made any conclusions.”The program would be run out of the Federal Reserve, according to a person familiar with the matter. The administration is also considering taking financial stakes in exchange for some loans, and some firms might be asked to reduce production, the person said. President Donald Trump has not yet been presented with any options, the person added.The Treasury Department would need permission from Congress to loan funds directly from the $2.2 trillion coronavirus stimulus passed last month. Oil companies...

Oil prices extend rebound on output cuts, still set to end tumultuous week in the red

Oil prices rose on Friday, gaining further ground as some producers like Kuwait said they would move to cut output swiftly to try to counter the evaporation in global demand for fuels caused by the coronavirus pandemic. "The disruption relating to the coronavirus is set to cause the steepest fall in global GDP since the Second World War," Capital Economics said in a note, forecasting a 5.5% contraction in global economies this year, dwarfing the 0.5% fall seen during the global financial crisis....

Stocks Sink With U.S. Futures; Crude Oil Higher: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg) -- Asian stocks slipped Friday as investors weighed signs of progress in the fight against the coronavirus against data showing the severity of the impact on economies. Oil climbed back above $17 a barrel.Japanese shares dipped along with those in Hong Kong and Korea, while Australian equities edged higher. S&P 500 contracts fell after the index erased a 1.6% gain in Thursday’s session to end little changed. Gilead Sciences Inc.’s antiviral drug remdesivir was reported to have flopped in its first randomized clinical trial, though the company disputed that characterization. Treasuries added to gains and the dollar was little changed.A rebound in global stocks has stalled following two weeks of strong gains, as investors assess a flurry of earnings reports along with economic data and the latest news on the virus. Data from the U.S. showed total job losses now exceed 26 million amid the shutdowns.“There is a long list...