Economic Watch: Overall Growth Revised Higher, Business Investment Up

The economy expanded more than previously estimated in the third quarter, and separate reports offered up some relatively positive economic news just in time for the holidays..
The nation's gross domestic product, which measures the total output of goods and services, expanded at a rate of 3.5% in the third quarter of the year, according to the Commerce Department. This third and final estimate is up from a 3.2% rate estimated a month ago and a 2.9% estimate in late October.
It's the best performance since the third quarter of 2014 and compares to a 1.4% rate in the second quarter of this year. The reading also beat a consensus estimate from analysts who forecast the GDP would be revised upward to a 3.3% rate.
The revised figure is based on more complete data that showed nonresidential fixed investment, personal consumption expenditures, and state and local government spending increased more than previously thought, according to the department.
“The data remains consistent with our view that underlying economic activity has strengthened over the second half of the year," said Nathan Janzen, senior economist at RBC Economics.
However, he said, RBC analysts do not expect a repeat of the sizeable third quarter GDP gain in the fourth quarter. "A sizeable 0.9 of a percentage point addition to growth from net trade, much of which reflected a transitory jump in food exports, is unlikely to be repeated,” he explained. "And we expect a small subtraction, compared to a significant third quarter addition, from fourth quarter inventory growth.”
Despite this, RBC says it is forecasting a 2.1% annual gain in the fourth quarter GDP, led by further improvements in consumer spending, a pickup in residential investment, and a slightly stronger gain in business investment.
On a related note, a separate Commerce Department report showed consumer spending in November rose 0.2% following ...Read the rest of this story