Author: Vitaliy Dadalyan

Analysis: Industrial Activity Points to a Mixed Picture

Industrial activity has picked up its pace during 2017 after a stretch of weakness that lasted from mid-2015 until late 2016. Recent reports have done little to change our underlying assumptions of the U.S. economy or freight demand.

Let's key in on a couple of important segments to trucking and see what sort of movement has occurred during the first half of 2017.

Mining

It is easy to see from the chart above that mining activity was very, very strong early in 2017. This sector includes four important segments: stone/earth, metal, coal, and oil/gas. Not surprisingly, the impetus for growth has come from the oil and gas shale fields. Construction (and especially housing) have been lackluster, metal demand has rebounded some but remains weak, and coal demand turned back up in late 2016 but hasn't moved much since then.

Durable Manufacturing

Durables are the biggest component of manufacturing and tend to be more cyclical than non-durables (we may not buy a new car during a recession, but we still eat and drive). This segment slowed noticeably during the second quarter – and it remains well below the average growth for this recovery.

Automotive

Automotive (this includes both vehicles and parts) is a big component of durable manufacturing. While we did eke out a gain in the second quarter, you can easily see that we are running well below the recovery average and we had a very negative quarter in Q1. Automotive demand looks to have topped out, and growth in industrial activity or freight demand is not likely to come from this segment.

Non-Durable Manufacturing

Non-durables did see a notable uptick in the second quarter. Surprisingly, this sector has been quite weak during much of this recovery. The three main segments are: food, fuel, and chemicals. Chemicals growth has been weaker than anticipated during this recovery as it ...Read the rest of this story

Spot Truckload Rates Fall for Second Straight Week

Spot truckload freight rates moved slightly lower for the second consecutive week for the seven-day period ending August 19 as freight volume remained strong, according to the freight matching service provider DAT Solutions.

The number of loads posted on its load boards declined 2.1% compared to the previous week while available truck capacity was unchanged. The is due a seasonal transition, driven largely by produce harvests, according to DAT Analyst Peggy Dorf on the DAT blog.

“Reefers are needed, but anything that affects reefers will affect dry van traffic, as well, so there's a geographic shift in the van segment,” she wrote. “More loads are available in the Upper Midwest and Northeast, while the Southeast is winding down, and trends in the Western region are mixed.”

Nationally, van load posts fell 1% and truck posts increased 1% to push the van load-to-truck ratio from 4.9 to 1 to 4.8 to 1. The national average van rate fell 1 cent to $1.78 per mile, a small change in an otherwise firm freight market, but down from a four-week high of $1.82 per mile. All reported rates include fuel surcharges.

Refrigerated load posts increased 5% and truck posts declined 2%, which resulted in a 7% increase in the load-to-truck ratio, hitting 9.3 to 1. At $2.07 per mile, the national average reefer rate was 1 cent lower compared to the previous week but is down 5 cents from two weeks earlier.

The Midwest is heating up for reefers, which is a normal trend for this time of year. More loads are moving out of the Grand Rapids market, and outbound rates rose in Green Bay and Chicago, according to DAT. More loads left Sacramento last week but it's still not a high-volume market at this point in the summer.

Flatbed load posts declined 7% while truck posts ...Read the rest of this story

The Fleet Owner 500 Awards Finalists

Winners in nine categories will be announced at the first-ever North American Commercial Vehicle show in Atlanta at the end of September.

To honor advances and innovation in private fleet operations across the country, Fleet Owner is holding its inaugural “Fleet Owner 500 Awards” ceremony this fall in conjunction with the North American Commercial Vehicle (NACV) exposition in Atlanta, GA.

Eighteen fleets drawn from nine distinct industry segments are in the running for the awards, with these motor carriers selected from the annual “Fleet Owner 500” list of the largest private fleet operations in North America.

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Leasing rules are changing, but fiscal advantages will remain

Broad changes will go into effect a year from now altering how equipment leases are accounted for on corporate balance sheets. Yet those changes shouldn't impact trucking too much.

New lease accounting rules will hitting the books in a little over a year, changing how trucking companies that lease trucks, trailers and other equipment “recognize” the value of such assets on their balance sheets.

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Magellan says ELD solution now FMCSA certified

Magellan announced that its commercial-grade truck navigation and electronic logging device (ELD)-compliant Hours of Service (HOS) tracking solution is now Federal Motor Carrier Safety Association (FMCSA) certified and listed on the FMCSA online registry.

Magellan explained its HOS/ELD solution offers automated logging tools, reports and alerts to keep drivers on time and in compliance. An HOS management web portal allows for HOS, DVIR and IFTA reports.

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