Author: Vitaliy Dadalyan

Travel Advisories in Affect as Hurricane Harvey Nears Texas

<img width="150" src="http://www.automotive-fleet.com/fc_images/news/m-harvey.jpeg" border="0" alt="

The National Hurricane Center is advising against all but essential local travel on roadways affected by Hurricane Harvey. Photo: National Hurricane Center

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The National Hurricane Center is advising against all but essential local travel on roadways affected by Hurricane Harvey. Photo: National Hurricane Center

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A dangerous hurricane has prompted both state and federal authorities to issue a variety of travel warnings and advisories that will definitely impact and disrupt trucking operations along with Louisiana and Texas coast for the next several days.

Latest reports say Hurricane Harvey is a Category 2 storm, with the potential to reach Category 3 by the time it makes landfall. According to the National Hurricane Center, Category 3 hurricanes have great potential for structural damage as far away as 25 miles from the eye of the storm. Meteorologists say the storm could dump as much as 30 inches of rain on affected areas. Sustained winds of 111 mph are also possible.

Drivers in the storm's footprint should also be aware of the potential for severe flooding, says the Texas Department of Transportation. The agency says that the heavy rainfall, combined with storm surges up to 5 feet, will cause dangerous flood situations on roadways along the coast and is urging drivers to exercise caution and simply turn around when confronted with submerged roadways.

Currently, Texas DOT says the state is prepared and storm response rescue and maintenance crews are positioned and ready to go once the full brunt of the storm hits the coastline. As of 10 a.m. Central time Friday morning, the agency was advising drivers to suspend all non-essential local travel in areas affected by the storm.

For up-to-date information on conditions and travel advisories in areas affected by Hurricane Harvey, follow the TxDOT Ferry Twitter feeds, @GalvestonFerry and @PortA_Ferry, as well as @TxDOT_CRP.

Additional updates can be found on DriveTexas.org and on Facebook, www.facebook.com/txdot and Twitter, www.twitter.com/txdot.

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Economic Watch: Core Capital Goods Orders Soar, Existing Home Sales Slip

New orders for big-ticket durable goods fell in July by the most in nearly three years, as orders and shipments for core-capital goods surged, according to a new report, while a separate one showed the market for existing home sales declined following a drop in new home sales.

The 6.8% drop in orders for new durable goods was largely due to drop in the volatile aircraft sector and follows a revised 6.4% improvement in June, according to the Commerce Department. Many analysts were anticipating a slightly larger decline.

Excluding transportation orders, new orders for durable goods increased 0.5% in July, marking three consecutive monthly improvements.

Shipments of durable goods increased 0.4% in July from the month before, the third straight monthly gain.

The closely watched orders for nondefense capital goods minus aircraft, an indicator of business investment, increased 0.4% in July, slightly better than Wall Street expectations, and is up from being nearly unchanged in June. Compared to July 2016, orders for these goods are up 3.3%.

Shipments of core capital goods jumped 1% in July following an upwardly revised to a 0.6% increase in June following an originally reported 0.1% gain. Core capital goods shipments are used to calculate equipment spending in the government's gross domestic product measurement.

The gain in durable goods shipments translates into a “special plus and one that will lift gross domestic product,” once the third quarter is over and numbers are released, according to analysts at Econoday.

“Positives are definitely the theme of today's report, one that helps offset last week's unexpected decline in manufacturing production and supports the enormous strength being signaled by advance regional reports,” they said. “The economy may very well get a solid second-half boost from what has been an improving factory sector.”

Existing Home Sales Drop Following New Home Decline

On the other hand, sales of existing ...Read the rest of this story

Analysis: Industrial Activity Points to a Mixed Picture

Industrial activity has picked up its pace during 2017 after a stretch of weakness that lasted from mid-2015 until late 2016. Recent reports have done little to change our underlying assumptions of the U.S. economy or freight demand.

Let's key in on a couple of important segments to trucking and see what sort of movement has occurred during the first half of 2017.

Mining

It is easy to see from the chart above that mining activity was very, very strong early in 2017. This sector includes four important segments: stone/earth, metal, coal, and oil/gas. Not surprisingly, the impetus for growth has come from the oil and gas shale fields. Construction (and especially housing) have been lackluster, metal demand has rebounded some but remains weak, and coal demand turned back up in late 2016 but hasn't moved much since then.

Durable Manufacturing

Durables are the biggest component of manufacturing and tend to be more cyclical than non-durables (we may not buy a new car during a recession, but we still eat and drive). This segment slowed noticeably during the second quarter – and it remains well below the average growth for this recovery.

Automotive

Automotive (this includes both vehicles and parts) is a big component of durable manufacturing. While we did eke out a gain in the second quarter, you can easily see that we are running well below the recovery average and we had a very negative quarter in Q1. Automotive demand looks to have topped out, and growth in industrial activity or freight demand is not likely to come from this segment.

Non-Durable Manufacturing

Non-durables did see a notable uptick in the second quarter. Surprisingly, this sector has been quite weak during much of this recovery. The three main segments are: food, fuel, and chemicals. Chemicals growth has been weaker than anticipated during this recovery as it ...Read the rest of this story

The Fleet Owner 500 Awards Finalists

Winners in nine categories will be announced at the first-ever North American Commercial Vehicle show in Atlanta at the end of September.

To honor advances and innovation in private fleet operations across the country, Fleet Owner is holding its inaugural “Fleet Owner 500 Awards” ceremony this fall in conjunction with the North American Commercial Vehicle (NACV) exposition in Atlanta, GA.

Eighteen fleets drawn from nine distinct industry segments are in the running for the awards, with these motor carriers selected from the annual “Fleet Owner 500” list of the largest private fleet operations in North America.

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Spot Truckload Rates Fall for Second Straight Week

Spot truckload freight rates moved slightly lower for the second consecutive week for the seven-day period ending August 19 as freight volume remained strong, according to the freight matching service provider DAT Solutions.

The number of loads posted on its load boards declined 2.1% compared to the previous week while available truck capacity was unchanged. The is due a seasonal transition, driven largely by produce harvests, according to DAT Analyst Peggy Dorf on the DAT blog.

“Reefers are needed, but anything that affects reefers will affect dry van traffic, as well, so there's a geographic shift in the van segment,” she wrote. “More loads are available in the Upper Midwest and Northeast, while the Southeast is winding down, and trends in the Western region are mixed.”

Nationally, van load posts fell 1% and truck posts increased 1% to push the van load-to-truck ratio from 4.9 to 1 to 4.8 to 1. The national average van rate fell 1 cent to $1.78 per mile, a small change in an otherwise firm freight market, but down from a four-week high of $1.82 per mile. All reported rates include fuel surcharges.

Refrigerated load posts increased 5% and truck posts declined 2%, which resulted in a 7% increase in the load-to-truck ratio, hitting 9.3 to 1. At $2.07 per mile, the national average reefer rate was 1 cent lower compared to the previous week but is down 5 cents from two weeks earlier.

The Midwest is heating up for reefers, which is a normal trend for this time of year. More loads are moving out of the Grand Rapids market, and outbound rates rose in Green Bay and Chicago, according to DAT. More loads left Sacramento last week but it's still not a high-volume market at this point in the summer.

Flatbed load posts declined 7% while truck posts ...Read the rest of this story